| Overall | 13W 8L 1T |
| District | 4W 3L 1T |
| Expected | 19: 2+ 1- |
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)
|
23 5 3 Rank in State, Class, District |
1088 27 Strength Momentum |
1003 55.4(23) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) | |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/22/15 | at Piedra Vista | 0.000 | 801 | W 5- 2 | Expected (0) | 1105 | 86% |  |
| 09/01/15 | Los Lunas | 0.001 | 931 | W 4- 1 | Expected (+1) | 1150 | 78% | |
| 09/02/15 | Santa Fe Prep | 0.001 | 1111 | W 2- 1 | Better (+1) | 1140 | 50% | |
| 09/10/15 | at Albuquerque Academy | 0.005 | 1495 | L 0- 2 | Expected (+2) | 1201 | 5% | |
| 09/11/15 | at Cleveland | 0.006 | 1236 | L 1- 2 | Expected (+1) | 1122 | 23% | |
| 09/12/15 | Mayfield ?? | 0.007 | 854 | L 0- 1 | Worse (-4) | 911 | 85% | |
| 09/16/15 | at Highland | 0.014 | 917 | W 2- 1 | Expected (-1) | 1062 | 74% | |
| 09/19/15 | at Bosque | 0.023 | 1309 | L 2- 3 | Expected (+1) | 1158 | 16% | |
| 09/22/15 | Taos | 0.036 | 1104 | W 4- 3 | Expected (+1) | 1136 | 51% | |
| 09/24/15 | at Moriarty | 0.045 | 981 | W 1- 0 | Expected (0) | 1094 | 65% | |
| 09/26/15 | Del Norte | 0.027 | 798 | W 6- 0 | Expected (+3) | 1237 | 90% | |
| 09/29/15 | at St. Michael's | 0.043 | 904 | W 6- 1 | Expected (+3) | 1258 | 76% | |
| 10/03/15 | at Rehoboth Christian ! | 0.108 | 1003 | W 3- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1205 | 62% | |
| 10/07/15 | at Sandia Prep ? | 0.184 | 1201 | L 1- 4 | Expected (-2) | 1003 | 28% | |
| 10/10/15 | Rehoboth Christian !! | 0.165 | 1003 | W 5- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1288 | 68% | |
| 10/15/15 | at Bloomfield | 0.323 | 729 | W 3- 0 | Expected (0) | 1068 | 91% | |
| 10/16/15 | Bosque | 0.282 | 1309 | L 0- 4 | Expected (-2) | 988 | 19% | |
| 10/20/15 | Sandia Prep | 0.599 | 1201 | T 1- 1 | Better (+1) | 1134 | 34% | |
| 10/22/15 | Bloomfield | 0.288 | 729 | W 9- 3 | Expected (+2) | 1203 | 93% | |
| 10/23/15 | at Farmington | 0.654 | 1250 | L 0- 2 | Expected (0) | 1078 | 22% | |
| 10/30/15 | Bloomfield | 0.389 | 729 | W 6- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1203 | 93% | |
| 11/05/15 | * Sandia Prep | 0.857 | 1201 | L 1- 3 | Expected (-1) | 1034 | 31% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Hope Christian actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1003, while
Hope Christian's "weighted playing strength" is 1103
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.65 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
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